experiment: confirm live sufficiency confirmation question

2026-08-14 18:24:36 +01:00
parent 7cfeee140b
commit 391667777e
2 changed files with 230 additions and 0 deletions
@@ -3549,3 +3549,48 @@ Pre-existing apply-proposal failures (4) confirmed unrelated via git stash/re-ru

 #### Status
 COMPLETE — production + tests committed, documentation recorded.
+
+---
+
+#### 60B.74 — Missing Sufficiency Confirmation Question (Live Verification)
+
+**Date:** 2026-08-14
+**Branch:** `feature/sufficiency-confirmation-question-v0.45`
+**Type:** Live regression observation only
+
+#### Objective
+
+Verify whether the post-60B.73 production path preserves the no-confirmation guard while replacing the generic decision-threshold continuation with the focused sufficiency confirmation/discovery question.
+
+#### Run
+
+```bash
+FIXTURE_MODE=updateOnly \
+FIXTURE_PATH=tests/fixtures/pre-anchored-product-launch-customer-signing.json \
+ANSWER_2="The enterprise customer has now confirmed in writing that they will not sign if we launch this year, so the £700,000 of expected annual revenue from them will not be received." \
+CONFIDENCE_ENGINE_BASE_URL=http://127.0.0.1:3000 \
+node scripts/reproduce-multi-turn-investigation.mjs
+```
+
+#### Result: B — GENERIC QUESTION PERSISTS
+
+Observed behavior is IDENTICAL to 60B.71 on the question level:
+
+- Customer resolves correctly → resolved (negative meaning preserved)
+- Decision stays open → unknown (no premature closure)
+- Active target remains n_product_launch_decision ✓
+- **Question remains generic:** `"What outcome would demonstrate enough value to justify launching?"`
+- **Template is `decision_threshold_outcome` — NOT `decision_threshold_sufficiency_confirmation`**
+
+#### Root Cause: Deterministic Bug in State B Detection
+
+The condition at line 2010 of `question-formulator.js`:
+
+```js
+node.kind !== "unknown"
+```
+
+can NEVER be true for any decision node, because all decisions have `kind === "unknown"` (same as child factors). The SituationKind enum has no "decision" kind value. This prevents the sufficiency template from ever firing.
+
+#### Status
+BLOCKED — State B detection bug blocks 60B.73 implementation from reaching production. Fix needed in `question-formulator.js` line 2010 to correctly distinguish parent decisions from child factors.