{ "description": "Deterministic pre-anchored product-launch decision-options fixture — cross-domain test of reasoning-chain generalisation.", "scenario": "We are evaluating two product-launch timing options: launching the new software product this year or waiting twelve months.", "unresolved_question": "Which option leaves us better off overall?", "graph": { "centralStatement": "We are evaluating two product-launch timing options: launching the new software product this year or waiting twelve months.", "nodes": [ { "id": "n_product_launch_state", "label": "Product launch timing consideration", "description": "Current state: the organisation is evaluating whether to launch the new software product this year or wait twelve months.", "kind": "state", "status": "provisional", "confidence": "high", "value": null, "unit": null, "evidenceIds": [], "dependsOn": [], "affects": [], "parentId": null, "childIds": [] }, { "id": "opt_launch_this_year", "label": "Launch this year", "description": "Launch the new software product this year. Consequences: £1.2M/year expected additional recurring revenue, £300k one-off launch/support cost.", "kind": "option", "status": "known", "confidence": "high", "value": null, "unit": null, "evidenceIds": [], "dependsOn": [], "affects": [], "parentId": null, "childIds": [] }, { "id": "opt_wait_twelve_months", "label": "Wait twelve months", "description": "Wait twelve months before launching the product. Consequences: avoids the £300k immediate launch/support cost, forgoes approximately £1.2M of first-year revenue.", "kind": "option", "status": "known", "confidence": "high", "value": null, "unit": null, "evidenceIds": [], "dependsOn": [], "affects": [], "parentId": null, "childIds": [] }, { "id": "n_product_launch_decision", "label": "Which option leaves us better off overall?", "description": "Uncertainty about which of the two product-launch timing options — launch this year or wait twelve months — provides superior net value for the organisation.", "kind": "unknown", "status": "unknown", "confidence": "medium", "value": null, "unit": null, "evidenceIds": [], "dependsOn": [], "affects": [], "parentId": null, "childIds": [] } ], "edges": [ { "id": "e-opt-launch-to-dec", "fromNodeId": "opt_launch_this_year", "toNodeId": "n_product_launch_decision", "relationship": "contained_in", "confidence": "high", "description": "Launch this year option is a candidate for the product launch decision" }, { "id": "e-opt-wait-to-dec", "fromNodeId": "opt_wait_twelve_months", "toNodeId": "n_product_launch_decision", "relationship": "contained_in", "confidence": "high", "description": "Wait twelve months option is a candidate for the product launch decision" } ], "activeUnknownNodeId": "n_product_launch_decision", "resolvedNodeIds": [], "currentSummary": "Two product-launch timing options evaluated; net-value comparison unresolved.", "reasoningState": { "comparabilityStatus": null, "relationshipStatus": null, "relationshipAssessed": false, "contradictionReasoningAllowed": true, "reasoningStages": [] } } }