691 lines
31 KiB
JSON
691 lines
31 KiB
JSON
{
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"centralStatement": "I am deciding whether to launch a new software product this year or wait twelve months. The product is ready enough to launch, but one large enterprise customer could represent a significant part of the expected revenue and I do not yet know whether they will sign. Launching this year would also require around £300,000 of additional support and implementation cost. Waiting twelve months would reduce that immediate cost and give us more time to improve the product, but it would delay revenue and may allow competitors to move first. I need to decide whether there is enough evidence to launch this year or whether waiting is the safer decision.",
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"nodes": [
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{
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"id": "nz92pkx",
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"label": "The decision-maker must choose between launching a nearly-ready software product immediately with significant upfront costs and uncertain key revenue, or delaying to reduce costs and improve the product while risking delayed revenue and competitor advantage.",
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"description": "Summary of the situation from the scenario text",
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{
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"label": "Launching this year requires approximately £300,000 in support and implementation costs",
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{
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"id": "not6pp6",
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"label": "New software product, currently assessed as ready enough to launch",
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{
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{
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"label": "Launching now incurs high immediate costs (£300k) but may capture revenue earlier; waiting reduces costs and allows product improvement but delays revenue",
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"label": "Probability or current status of the large enterprise customer signing their contract before launch or within the year",
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{
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"label": "Whether competitors are actively developing similar products and how soon they might release them",
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{
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"label": "Sufficiency of committed or highly probable revenue from other customers to cover £300k cost and yield acceptable return",
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"description": "The amount of non-enterprise revenue secured or likely enough to justify launching now without the enterprise customer, because resolving this determines whether immediate launch is commercially viable.",
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"kind": "unknown",
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"edges": [
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"relationship": "supports",
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"confidence": "high",
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"description": "Product is considered ready enough for launch supports the summary"
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"description": "Launching this year requires approximately £300,000 in support and implementation costs supports the summary"
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"relationship": "depends_on",
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"confidence": "low",
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"description": "Probability or current status of the large enterprise customer signing their contract before launch or within the year is an unresolved factor for this situation"
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"description": "Whether competitors are actively developing similar products and how soon they might release them is an unresolved factor for this situation"
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"description": "Revenue viability without the enterprise customer is a prerequisite for assessing the immediate launch decision"
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"activeUnknownNodeId": "ntpt9ki",
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"reasoningState": {
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"comparabilityStatus": "confirmed",
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"comparabilityReason": "The observations are not competing like-for-like measurements.",
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"comparabilityEvidence": [],
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"relationshipStatus": "insufficient_information",
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"reason": "All selectable unknowns are compatible with decision reasoning."
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},
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"graphReasoningIntegrity": "valid",
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"unknownSelectionExplanation": {
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"selectedNodeId": "ntpt9ki",
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"selectedNodeLabel": "Probability or current status of the large enterprise customer signing their contract before launch or within the year",
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"status": "selected",
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"tieType": "none",
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"resolvedNodeIds": [
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"nR4vL9w"
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"tiedCandidateIds": [
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"ntpt9ki"
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],
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"tieBreakOrder": [
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"score_desc",
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"downstreamCount_desc",
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"unresolvedParentUnknownCount_asc",
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"label_asc"
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],
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"alphabeticalUsedAsReasoning": false,
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"candidates": [
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{
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"nodeId": "ntpt9ki",
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"label": "Probability or current status of the large enterprise customer signing their contract before launch or within the year",
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"score": 10,
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{
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}
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]
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},
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{
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"nodeId": "nxmeiab",
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"label": "Whether competitors are actively developing similar products and how soon they might release them",
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}
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"nodeId": "ntpt9ki",
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"label": "Probability or current status of the large enterprise customer signing their contract before launch or within the year",
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"score": 10,
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{
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},
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{
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"rule": "actor_match",
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"value": true,
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"weight": 10,
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"delta": 10
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}
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]
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},
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"competitors": [
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{
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"nodeId": "nxmeiab",
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"label": "Whether competitors are actively developing similar products and how soon they might release them",
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"outrankedBy": {
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}
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}
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],
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"selectedReason": "highest_score=10; downstream=0; unresolved_prerequisites=0"
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}
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}
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},
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"version": "v0.1",
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"assessedAt": "2026-08-17T13:47:44.548Z",
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"confidence": "medium",
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"phase": {
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"value": "exploring",
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"confidence": "medium",
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"signals": [
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"Resolution progress low (1/10 or unknown)"
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],
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"evidence": {
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"resolvedNodeCount": 1,
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"activeUnknownCount": 2,
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"unknownResolutionRatio": 0.1,
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"observationDensity": 4,
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"evidenceDepth": "shallow"
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}
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},
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"progress": {
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"value": "stalled",
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"confidence": "high",
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"signals": [
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"Low resolution progress: 10% of nodes resolved",
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"1 of 10 nodes resolved — insufficient momentum"
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],
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"evidence": {
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"turnCount": 3,
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"repeatedNodeIds": []
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}
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},
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"conversationHealth": {
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"value": "healthy",
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"confidence": "medium",
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"signals": [
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"Active investigation in progress: 2 unresolved unknown(s)",
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"Question actively driving the investigation forward"
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],
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"evidence": {
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"questionTypeDistribution": null,
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}
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}
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}
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} |