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confidence-engine/docs/v0.7-observation-report.md
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2026-08-03 14:51:39 +01:00

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v0.7 Observation Report

Date: 2026-08-03 | Commit: c273209 | Branch: feature/reasoning-pattern-memory-v0.7

Summary Table

Scenario Name Start Update Nodes Unknowns Rating
scenario-1 Confidence Engine commercial validation pass fail(400) 9 3 flow failure
scenario-2 Hiring pass fail(400) 18 8 flow failure
scenario-3 Vehicle replacement pass fail(400) 15 8 flow failure
scenario-4 Welsh Government-style programme decision pass fail(400) 10 3 flow failure
scenario-5 Operational contradiction pass fail(400) 7 2 flow failure
scenario-6 Personal decision fail skipped 0 0 flow failure

Per-Scenario Findings

scenario-1: Confidence Engine commercial validation

  • Overall: Start=pass, Update=fail(400), Rating=flow failure

  • Pattern: N/A | Nodes: 9 | Edges: 0

  • Validation: valid | Duration: 63386ms

  • Unknown IDs: nirkgb4, n36c0cc, nzeyzkz

  • Error: [N/A] Invalid update-case request

  • Assessment:

    • reasoning-pattern fit: fail
    • one-concept simplicity: fail
    • plain-language clarity: fail
    • logical progression: fail (No question generated)
    • graph-backed: fail
    • premature-specialism avoided: fail

scenario-2: Hiring

  • Overall: Start=pass, Update=fail(400), Rating=flow failure

  • Pattern: N/A | Nodes: 18 | Edges: 5

  • Validation: valid | Duration: 146476ms

  • Unknown IDs: n7yonyv, npci7a7, nug9wj2, nz0vpey, nz8pwyc, newxmzu, nw14mjj, n25mnp3

  • Error: [N/A] Invalid update-case request

  • Assessment:

    • reasoning-pattern fit: fail
    • one-concept simplicity: fail
    • plain-language clarity: fail
    • logical progression: fail (No question generated)
    • graph-backed: fail
    • premature-specialism avoided: fail

scenario-3: Vehicle replacement

  • Overall: Start=pass, Update=fail(400), Rating=flow failure

  • Pattern: N/A | Nodes: 15 | Edges: 5

  • Validation: valid | Duration: 81460ms

  • Unknown IDs: ng5yr11, nogqips, n499gin, n8fbv3p, nf2f6zx, n4feiap, nvwthlt, nqrxjli

  • Error: [N/A] Invalid update-case request

  • Assessment:

    • reasoning-pattern fit: fail
    • one-concept simplicity: fail
    • plain-language clarity: fail
    • logical progression: fail (No question generated)
    • graph-backed: fail
    • premature-specialism avoided: fail

scenario-4: Welsh Government-style programme decision

  • Overall: Start=pass, Update=fail(400), Rating=flow failure

  • Pattern: N/A | Nodes: 10 | Edges: 0

  • Validation: valid | Duration: 129682ms

  • Unknown IDs: nrrm3qn, nefmpat, n6rtwg1

  • Error: [N/A] Invalid update-case request

  • Assessment:

    • reasoning-pattern fit: fail
    • one-concept simplicity: fail
    • plain-language clarity: fail
    • logical progression: fail (No question generated)
    • graph-backed: fail
    • premature-specialism avoided: fail

scenario-5: Operational contradiction

  • Overall: Start=pass, Update=fail(400), Rating=flow failure

  • Pattern: N/A | Nodes: 7 | Edges: 0

  • Validation: valid | Duration: 70579ms

  • Unknown IDs: n6gm2cv, nylhu9g

  • Error: [N/A] Invalid update-case request

  • Assessment:

    • reasoning-pattern fit: fail
    • one-concept simplicity: fail
    • plain-language clarity: fail
    • logical progression: fail (No question generated)
    • graph-backed: fail
    • premature-specialism avoided: fail

scenario-6: Personal decision

  • Overall: Start=fail, Update=skipped, Rating=flow failure

  • Pattern: N/A | Nodes: 0 | Edges: 0

  • Validation: invalid | Duration: 72547ms

  • Assessment:

    • reasoning-pattern fit: fail
    • one-concept simplicity: fail
    • plain-language clarity: fail
    • logical progression: fail (No question generated)
    • graph-backed: fail
    • premature-specialism avoided: fail

Failure Pattern Analysis

Start Phase

  • 5/6 succeeded, 1/6 failed
    • scenario-6: Scenario analysis failed

Update Phase

  • 0/6 succeeded, 5/6 failed, 1/6 skipped

  • N/A (5 failures):

    • scenario-1: Invalid update-case request
    • scenario-2: Invalid update-case request
    • scenario-3: Invalid update-case request
    • scenario-4: Invalid update-case request
    • scenario-5: Invalid update-case request

What's Stable

  • Graph construction: 5/6 start success across all scenario types (commercial, operational, personal, policy)

Recommendations

  1. Fix update failures (5/6): Primary focus area. Most failures in proposal_compatibility and delta detection.
  • Monitor reasoning pattern inference reliability across different scenario domains.
  • Consider adding timeout guards for long-running LLM calls (some exceeded 60s).