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confidence-engine/tests/fixtures/pre-anchored-product-launch-options.json
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{
"description": "Deterministic pre-anchored product-launch decision-options fixture — cross-domain test of reasoning-chain generalisation.",
"scenario": "We are evaluating two product-launch timing options: launching the new software product this year or waiting twelve months.",
"unresolved_question": "Which option leaves us better off overall?",
"graph": {
"centralStatement": "We are evaluating two product-launch timing options: launching the new software product this year or waiting twelve months.",
"nodes": [
{
"id": "n_product_launch_state",
"label": "Product launch timing consideration",
"description": "Current state: the organisation is evaluating whether to launch the new software product this year or wait twelve months.",
"kind": "state",
"status": "provisional",
"confidence": "high",
"value": null,
"unit": null,
"evidenceIds": [],
"dependsOn": [],
"affects": [],
"parentId": null,
"childIds": []
},
{
"id": "opt_launch_this_year",
"label": "Launch this year",
"description": "Launch the new software product this year. Consequences: £1.2M/year expected additional recurring revenue, £300k one-off launch/support cost.",
"kind": "option",
"status": "known",
"confidence": "high",
"value": null,
"unit": null,
"evidenceIds": [],
"dependsOn": [],
"affects": [],
"parentId": null,
"childIds": []
},
{
"id": "opt_wait_twelve_months",
"label": "Wait twelve months",
"description": "Wait twelve months before launching the product. Consequences: avoids the £300k immediate launch/support cost, forgoes approximately £1.2M of first-year revenue.",
"kind": "option",
"status": "known",
"confidence": "high",
"value": null,
"unit": null,
"evidenceIds": [],
"dependsOn": [],
"affects": [],
"parentId": null,
"childIds": []
},
{
"id": "n_product_launch_decision",
"label": "Which option leaves us better off overall?",
"description": "Uncertainty about which of the two product-launch timing options — launch this year or wait twelve months — provides superior net value for the organisation.",
"kind": "unknown",
"status": "unknown",
"confidence": "medium",
"value": null,
"unit": null,
"evidenceIds": [],
"dependsOn": [],
"affects": [],
"parentId": null,
"childIds": []
}
],
"edges": [
{
"id": "e-opt-launch-to-dec",
"fromNodeId": "opt_launch_this_year",
"toNodeId": "n_product_launch_decision",
"relationship": "contained_in",
"confidence": "high",
"description": "Launch this year option is a candidate for the product launch decision"
},
{
"id": "e-opt-wait-to-dec",
"fromNodeId": "opt_wait_twelve_months",
"toNodeId": "n_product_launch_decision",
"relationship": "contained_in",
"confidence": "high",
"description": "Wait twelve months option is a candidate for the product launch decision"
}
],
"activeUnknownNodeId": "n_product_launch_decision",
"resolvedNodeIds": [],
"currentSummary": "Two product-launch timing options evaluated; net-value comparison unresolved.",
"reasoningState": {
"comparabilityStatus": null,
"relationshipStatus": null,
"relationshipAssessed": false,
"contradictionReasoningAllowed": true,
"reasoningStages": []
}
}
}