2.3 KiB
v0.6 Selection Influence Experiment
Hypothesis
The initial unknown selected for the revenue-versus-cash scenario may be driven more by graph structure, more by semantic keyword matches, or by both together.
Scenario
Revenue increased by 18%, but cash in the bank fell over the same period.
Actual selected node
- Node ID:
nqdzobz - Label:
Magnitude and nature of cash outflows (operating expenses, debt repayments, capex, or working capital shifts). - Deterministic investigation strategy:
definition - Deterministic question:
What evidence would resolve whether magnitude and nature of cash outflows (operating expenses, debt repayments, capex, or working capital shifts). is true?
Structural contribution
- Downstream dependency count:
0 - Prerequisite position: no unresolved prerequisites; count
0 - Dependency ordering / centrality: no candidate had downstream dependants or dependency depth advantage in the live graph
Semantic contribution
- Objective: false
- Actor: false
- Criteria: false
- Measurement: false
- Terminology: false
- Constraint: false
- Pricing: false
- Implementation: false
- Optimisation: false
- Speculative: false
- Contribution list: only
downstream_dependencieswas present, with delta0
Counterfactual results
- Live-shaped ordering:
nqdzobzranked aboveniewza, but both had score0, downstream0, and unresolved prerequisites0 - Links removed: ordering stayed the same, because the live graph already provided no differentiating structure between the two unknowns
- Wording neutralised: ordering flipped to the first unknown by neutral label order (
Unknown AbeforeUnknown B), showing the outcome remained tie-break-driven rather than structure-driven
Conclusion
For this scenario, the actual winner was not selected because of graph structure and not selected because of semantic keyword weights. The live diagnostics show a complete tie on score, downstream influence, and prerequisite position, with every semantic match category false for both candidates. The winner was therefore chosen by the final tie-break rule, label_asc.
Is a scoring change justified?
Not from this single experiment alone. The result shows a diagnostic gap for this scenario, but this task does not justify a scoring change by itself, and no scoring change is made.