2.4 KiB
2.4 KiB
Experiment 60B.82 — Live Explicit Confirmation Closure Confirmed
Date: 2026-08-15
Branch: feature/decision-closure-ownership-v0.47
Preceded by: Experiment 60B.81 (live no-confirmation State B path confirmed)
Type: Paired live observation — explicit-confirmation positive branch
Objective
After 60B.81 proved the negative branch (no confirmation → decision stays open + sufficiency question), answer: does explicit sufficiency confirmation still close the decision cleanly?
final represented factor resolves
+
explicit sufficiency confirmation present
=>
parent decision may close
=>
active target clears
=>
no further question
Method
- Fixture:
tests/fixtures/pre-anchored-product-launch-customer-signing.json - Input (ANSWER_2):
"The enterprise customer has now confirmed in writing that they will not sign if we launch this year, so the £700,000 of expected annual revenue from them will not be received. There are no other material uncertainties between launching this year and waiting twelve months." - Crucially present:
"There are no other material uncertainties"— explicit sufficiency confirmation - Mode: updateOnly (1 update call via production HTTP route)
Result
Classification: A — LIVE EXPLICIT-CONFIRMATION CLOSURE CONFIRMED
Observed
| Field | Value |
|---|---|
| Customer status | resolved |
| Decision status | resolved (terminal) |
| resolvedUnknownNodeIds | ["n_enterprise_customer_signing", "n_product_launch_decision"] |
| finalActiveUnknownNodeId | null |
| finalSelectedQuestion | null |
| addedNodes | [] |
| addedEdges | [] |
| Financial revision | £1.2M/year → £500k/year (correctly reflects £700k enterprise loss) |
What This Proves
- Explicit sufficiency confirmation ("no other material uncertainties") flows cleanly through the 60B.80 gate to terminal closure of the parent decision.
- Both the paired negative branch (60B.81: no confirmation → State B) and positive branch (60B.82: explicit confirmation → terminal close) are now live-baselined.
- The confirmation-gated lifecycle is symmetric and complete in production.
What Remains Unproven by This Run
- Edge-case confirmation phrasings (implicit, partial, or negated confirmation language).
- Multi-node simultaneous resolution with confirmation.
- Confirmation under contradiction reasoning constraints.