robbondandClaude Code 3b04d05355 feat(confidence-engine): add CE-ULI-08 two-condition uncertainty comparison apparatus
Adds experimental apparatus for testing whether removing the question field
from importantUnknowns in reconstruction output improves semantic fidelity.

New files:
- lib/reconstruction/schema-variant.js (conditionB schema + production passthrough)
- prompts/reconstruct-v0.5-b-noreq.md (alt prompt, identical line count to prod)

Changed files:
- lib/graph/orchestrator.js (pass generationSchema through dependencies)
- lib/analysis.js (accept opts.generationSchema fallback to original schema)
- scripts/start-case-experiment-helper.cjs (--condition B/A flag support)
- tests/scripts/start-case-experiment-helper.test.js (8 new deterministic tests)

43 targeted deterministic tests PASS. Production callers use original prompt/schema unchanged.
No live model calls. No full suite evidence available.

Co-Authored-By: Claude Code <noreply@anthropic.com>
2026-10-12 07:33:31 +01:00

Confidence Engine

An experimental prototype that tests whether an LLM can build and maintain an evidence-based reconstruction of a situation over multiple turns.

Purpose

This is Milestone 1 — a technical vertical slice only. It demonstrates:

  • Sending a scenario to a local Ollama model via a Next.js server route
  • Receiving structured JSON output
  • Validating the result with Zod schemas
  • Displaying the reconstruction and diagnostic information in a plain UI

Prerequisites

  • Node.js 18+ (LTS recommended)
  • npm (or equivalent package manager)
  • Ollama installed and running on your local network, with a model pulled (e.g., ollama pull llama3)

Installation

cd confidence-engine
npm install
cp .env.example .env.local

Edit .env.local and set:

  • OLLAMA_BASE_URL — your Ollama server address (e.g., http://192.168.1.100:11434)
  • OLLAMA_MODEL — the model name (e.g., llama3)

Development Commands

npm run dev        # Start development server on localhost:3000
npm run build      # Production build
npm run start      # Run production server
npm run lint       # ESLint check

Testing Commands

npm test           # Run all tests (one-shot)
npm run test:watch # Run tests in watch mode

Tests mock the Ollama network request. No real Ollama server is needed to run them.

Verifying Ollama Connectivity

  1. Start the dev server: npm run dev
  2. Open http://localhost:3000/api/health
  3. You should see JSON with "reachable": true and your model name

Current Limitations

  • Single-turn only — no conversation memory or multi-turn dialogue
  • No persistence — results are not saved between requests
  • Ollama only — the provider abstraction exists but only Ollama is implemented
  • JSON mode reliance — output quality depends on the model's ability to produce valid structured JSON
  • No question generation — no follow-up questions or uncertainty resolution yet
  • No real-time streaming — waits for full response before displaying results
  • Plain UI — no animations, theming, or responsive polish beyond basic layout

Deliberately Not Implemented

  • Authentication / user accounts
  • Billing / rate limiting
  • Database or file storage
  • Vector databases or embeddings
  • Deployment configuration (Docker, Vercel, etc.)
  • External cloud LLM providers (OpenAI, Anthropic, etc.)
  • Agent frameworks or tool use
  • Complex state management (Zustand, Redux, etc.)
  • Multi-turn conversation history
  • Question generation or ranking

Architecture Notes

The application uses a provider abstraction in lib/llm/provider.js. The server routes call the provider, which hides the Ollama-specific implementation. To add a new provider, implement the same interface:

{
  generateReconstruction(scenario, modelName): Promise<Reconstruction>
}
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