51 lines
2.3 KiB
Markdown
51 lines
2.3 KiB
Markdown
# v0.6 Selection Influence Experiment
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## Hypothesis
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The initial unknown selected for the revenue-versus-cash scenario may be driven more by graph structure, more by semantic keyword matches, or by both together.
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## Scenario
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`Revenue increased by 18%, but cash in the bank fell over the same period.`
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## Actual selected node
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- Node ID: `nqdzobz`
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- Label: `Magnitude and nature of cash outflows (operating expenses, debt repayments, capex, or working capital shifts).`
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- Deterministic investigation strategy: `definition`
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- Deterministic question: `What evidence would resolve whether magnitude and nature of cash outflows (operating expenses, debt repayments, capex, or working capital shifts). is true?`
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## Structural contribution
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- Downstream dependency count: `0`
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- Prerequisite position: no unresolved prerequisites; count `0`
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- Dependency ordering / centrality: no candidate had downstream dependants or dependency depth advantage in the live graph
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## Semantic contribution
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- Objective: false
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- Actor: false
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- Criteria: false
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- Measurement: false
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- Terminology: false
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- Constraint: false
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- Pricing: false
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- Implementation: false
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- Optimisation: false
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- Speculative: false
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- Contribution list: only `downstream_dependencies` was present, with delta `0`
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## Counterfactual results
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- Live-shaped ordering: `nqdzobz` ranked above `niewza`, but both had score `0`, downstream `0`, and unresolved prerequisites `0`
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- Links removed: ordering stayed the same, because the live graph already provided no differentiating structure between the two unknowns
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- Wording neutralised: ordering flipped to the first unknown by neutral label order (`Unknown A` before `Unknown B`), showing the outcome remained tie-break-driven rather than structure-driven
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## Conclusion
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For this scenario, the actual winner was not selected because of graph structure and not selected because of semantic keyword weights. The live diagnostics show a complete tie on score, downstream influence, and prerequisite position, with every semantic match category false for both candidates. The winner was therefore chosen by the final tie-break rule, `label_asc`.
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## Is a scoring change justified?
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Not from this single experiment alone. The result shows a diagnostic gap for this scenario, but this task does not justify a scoring change by itself, and no scoring change is made.
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